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The Future Supply of Cards

Born of the Gods             1 pack
Prerelease Events: February 1-2, 2014

Journey into Nyx             1 pack
Prerelease Events: April 26-27, 2014

Khans of Tarkir                2 packs
Prerelease Events: September 20-21, 2014

Fate Reforged                  1 pack
Prerelease Events: January 17-18, 2015

Dragons of Tarkir            2 packs
Prerelease Events: March 21-22, 2015

Magic Origins                  3 packs
Prerelease Events: July 11–12, 2015


Spring of 2016
Khans and Fate Reforged rotates out.

Autumn 2016
Dragons of Tarkir and Magic Origins rotates out.

From the information above, the supply of Fate Reforged is similar to that of Born of the Gods. However, Fate has a shorter time period in Standard format. Likely, the supply of Dragons of Tarkir may be similar to that of Journey into Nyx and Dragons has a life span close to that of Journey, too.

But there is one thing we need to consider. Dragons is a large set drafted 2 packs per game. Does it enlarge the supply of cards in the set? Normally, the third set of a block is a small set required one pack in a draft game. I think at this moment, there are far more factors than we can actually measure to consider. Firstly, Khans and Fate are drafted at the same time with Dragons and Fate, they compete with each other for drafters. We don't know which is more attractive until the Dragons card list is out. Besides, we have Modern Master 2 coming in May and Magic Origins in August. If the two sets do well, they draw people from drafting Dragons, the supply of Dragons will be low.

Remember, all my analysis on supply does not grant you a profit; Supply is the ground for profit, not profit itself. Strength of the cards in a set is the reason people buy it and thus generates profit.
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