This articles is about buying cards from Theros Block. I listed the cards I picked with reasons, expectations and the possible events which signal further selling or buying. The THS cards are selecting by some rules below:
1. I don't pick gods - they are likely 1 of in most decks.
2. Cards not used in recent top 8 decks are not chosen.
3. Some decks are built with mainly Return to Ravnica cards, I avoid THS cards in these decks
The most likely profitable cards:
1. Elspeth, Sun's Champion
Reasons: It's highly usable in control decks.
Expectations: It should be as high as Sphinx's Revelation, say 35 if the standard doesn't change too much.
Signals: you must sell if the next standard favors fast decks.
2. Courser of Kruphix
Reasons: Most green decks need it.
Expectations: The price may go up to Restoration Angel's (15 tix to 20 tix)
Signals: It stops weenies, ramps mana, offsets life loss to Mana Confluence, I don't see in what condition it will drop.
3. Ajani, Mentor of Heroes
Reasons: Beside creatures, it can tutor for Elspeth, Banishing Light as removal. Cards from Theros block have already completed its function, the next block can only perfect it.
Expectations: It may goes up to around 20.
Signals: GW aggro decks are not very popular , it's now splashed in Naya control. If the mana fixing in the next standard 's horrible, it may not be so popular in the future.
4. Xenagos, the Reveler
Reasons: After the leaving of Blue Devotion from Standard, GR may regain popularity, in a way it did shortly following the release of Theros.
Expectations: over 10 tix.
Signals: Buy more when it drops under 5. It's a desirable price. Seldom did RTR planeswalker, Vraska, the Unseen fall under 4tix, it was not seen in meta for one and a half year! On the other hand, 2-3 copies of Xenagos are used regularly in GR and Jund decks.
Usable but uncertain cards:
Stormbreath Dragon - I'm not sure if it will be the best flyer for the coming year.
Polukranos, World Eater - Being a card in Dual Deck, it 's capped in price.
Brimaz, King of Oreskos - it's for sure that Elspeth will be the cards to beat in the next one and a half year. Printing something like Thrashing Wumpus can be an answer to Elspeth. Then, along with Elspeth, Brimaz will be the card likely to suffer from Wumpus.
Prophetic Flamespeaker - Already in certain Modern Jund and Standard Red Deck Win, it sounds good but I haven't tested it, so I can't say anything conclusive.
Mana Confluence - This is the hard card to value - does 1 damage matter in the next Standard, does M15 give us enough mana base for tri-color decks?
Kiora, the Crashing Wave and Ashiok, Nightmare Weaver - People have already been hoarding them, I can see that. I myself don't want to buy them unless a clear signal is shown.
Special Card:
Thoughtseize - I had bought 150 Snapcaster Mage at 6 before RTR and after six months it was still 6. Thoughtseize is a reprint and the decks using four copies of it don't dominate the meta as much as those using Snapcaster Mage. I will buy this card but not at this moment this price.
1. I don't pick gods - they are likely 1 of in most decks.
2. Cards not used in recent top 8 decks are not chosen.
3. Some decks are built with mainly Return to Ravnica cards, I avoid THS cards in these decks
The most likely profitable cards:
1. Elspeth, Sun's Champion
Reasons: It's highly usable in control decks.
Expectations: It should be as high as Sphinx's Revelation, say 35 if the standard doesn't change too much.
Signals: you must sell if the next standard favors fast decks.
2. Courser of Kruphix
Reasons: Most green decks need it.
Expectations: The price may go up to Restoration Angel's (15 tix to 20 tix)
Signals: It stops weenies, ramps mana, offsets life loss to Mana Confluence, I don't see in what condition it will drop.
3. Ajani, Mentor of Heroes
Reasons: Beside creatures, it can tutor for Elspeth, Banishing Light as removal. Cards from Theros block have already completed its function, the next block can only perfect it.
Expectations: It may goes up to around 20.
Signals: GW aggro decks are not very popular , it's now splashed in Naya control. If the mana fixing in the next standard 's horrible, it may not be so popular in the future.
4. Xenagos, the Reveler
Reasons: After the leaving of Blue Devotion from Standard, GR may regain popularity, in a way it did shortly following the release of Theros.
Expectations: over 10 tix.
Signals: Buy more when it drops under 5. It's a desirable price. Seldom did RTR planeswalker, Vraska, the Unseen fall under 4tix, it was not seen in meta for one and a half year! On the other hand, 2-3 copies of Xenagos are used regularly in GR and Jund decks.
Usable but uncertain cards:
Stormbreath Dragon - I'm not sure if it will be the best flyer for the coming year.
Polukranos, World Eater - Being a card in Dual Deck, it 's capped in price.
Brimaz, King of Oreskos - it's for sure that Elspeth will be the cards to beat in the next one and a half year. Printing something like Thrashing Wumpus can be an answer to Elspeth. Then, along with Elspeth, Brimaz will be the card likely to suffer from Wumpus.
Prophetic Flamespeaker - Already in certain Modern Jund and Standard Red Deck Win, it sounds good but I haven't tested it, so I can't say anything conclusive.
Mana Confluence - This is the hard card to value - does 1 damage matter in the next Standard, does M15 give us enough mana base for tri-color decks?
Kiora, the Crashing Wave and Ashiok, Nightmare Weaver - People have already been hoarding them, I can see that. I myself don't want to buy them unless a clear signal is shown.
Special Card:
Thoughtseize - I had bought 150 Snapcaster Mage at 6 before RTR and after six months it was still 6. Thoughtseize is a reprint and the decks using four copies of it don't dominate the meta as much as those using Snapcaster Mage. I will buy this card but not at this moment this price.
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